Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 310.027962 352.416582 400.004967 457.682080 526.084615 605.098814 703.974938
2024-12-29 247.051748 301.753623 369.028274 459.013072 578.009340 732.568213 952.872699
2025-01-05 208.134884 265.962375 341.343281 448.940562 602.196232 818.481647 1157.934125
2025-01-12 183.619754 243.114064 324.340885 446.576098 631.805396 912.513487 1392.431038
2025-01-19 159.394867 216.727141 297.788711 424.840677 626.965607 951.334701 1546.630974
2025-01-26 150.901594 211.057547 299.358528 444.024873 686.929813 1102.903565 1932.174443
2025-02-02 145.331576 208.712575 305.095757 469.858702 761.499574 1294.505822 2451.980448
2025-02-09 135.240406 198.250949 296.759187 470.934246 792.663704 1413.097802 2862.062946
2025-02-16 123.991233 184.796289 282.014369 458.735172 796.958762 1479.564103 3177.729634
2025-02-23 114.760454 173.688066 269.897738 449.409396 804.806118 1554.424673 3540.040096
2025-03-02 110.196901 169.745407 269.342828 460.910125 855.636814 1733.516750 4245.799678
2025-03-09 104.260997 162.960985 263.130163 460.785190 882.164284 1863.401719 4871.792981
2025-03-16 97.256531 153.975494 252.496605 451.381706 888.612669 1950.573567 5424.189962
2025-03-23 92.366228 148.289819 247.332541 452.363623 918.836097 2107.289669 6298.927509
2025-03-30 86.538860 140.484127 237.513479 442.483133 922.013782 2192.959282 6971.270785
2025-04-06 82.211192 135.037357 231.631852 440.160501 942.998618 2334.895830 7958.855129
2025-04-13 76.016785 125.772380 217.685208 418.810726 913.112558 2319.779865 8276.357113
2025-04-20 74.902813 125.775975 221.735006 437.654794 989.768101 2655.682032 10467.096896
2025-04-27 74.466291 126.993659 228.272437 463.024971 1089.525493 3106.012121 13735.173866
2025-05-04 71.595678 123.356458 224.625973 464.081076 1121.998300 3336.629626 16035.730792
2025-05-11 67.715100 117.518477 215.972441 452.101857 1114.607803 3418.778018 17491.752796
2025-05-18 64.375918 112.545556 208.775846 442.943204 1114.240592 3529.749829 19308.301284
2025-05-25 63.043650 111.451885 209.721659 454.237715 1179.001663 3930.421573 23978.764658